artifacts/incoming

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{
  "invariant_id": "INV-CP-001",
  "name": "Consequence Projection",
  "category": "Systems / Agency / Consent",
  "core_statement": "Systems maintain coherence by projecting consequences across time and visibility boundaries.",
  "short_form": "Stability requires counterfactual consequence.",
  "expanded_definition": "Any system composed of agents must maintain the perception of persistent consequences in order to remain stable. When real consequences are delayed, absent, or unobservable at the moment of choice, the system substitutes symbolic, simulated, or internalized consequences so that present decisions remain coherent with future outcomes.",
  "mechanism": {
    "problem": "At decision time, enforcement is often absent and outcomes are uncertain.",
    "solution": "The system emulates future or unseen consequences in the present.",
    "result": "Agents behave as if consequences already exist, preserving order and continuity."
  },
  "cross_domain_examples": {
    "religion": "Moral behavior is stabilized by belief in an omniscient witness who ensures consequences even in private.",
    "law": "Legal systems rely on the expectation of future enforcement to shape present behavior.",
    "economics": "Markets price future risk and reward into current decisions.",
    "psychology": "Self-regulation operates by internalizing delayed consequences.",
    "education": "Learning systems depend on future evaluation motivating present effort.",
    "games": "Rules make imaginary penalties binding, enabling play.",
    "technology": "Platforms use logs, metrics, and reputation to simulate accountability.",
    "ai_alignment": "Aligned agents model consequences beyond immediate reward signals."
  },
  "consent_lens": {
    "principle": "Consent determines which projected consequences are legitimate.",
    "note": "Consent is not the absence of consequence; it is agreement on which consequences are real."
  },
  "shadow": {
    "statement": "When simulated consequences detach from lived reality, power concentrates and harm scales.",
    "failure_modes": [
      "Obedience replacing moral discernment",
      "Punishment without context",
      "Metrics overriding meaning",
      "Authority hijacking consequence narratives"
    ]
  },
  "diagnostic_questions": [
    "What consequences are being projected?",
    "Who defines them?",
    "Are they observable, contestable, and revisable?",
    "Do agents consent to their enforcement?"
  ],
  "memetic_compressions": [
    "Order survives by borrowing consequences from tomorrow.",
    "Every working system lies about the future — the honest ones tell you how.",
    "Stability requires consequences even when no one is watching."
  ],
  "loop_mapping": {
    "loop_0": "Binary distinction between consequence / no consequence",
    "loop_1": "Negotiation and consent over consequence projection",
    "loop_2": "Adaptive revision of consequence models based on feedback"
  },
  "status": "stable",
  "version": "1.0.0"
}